INTRODUCING

S T O N K Z

Don’t just connect the dots, see the whole damn picture.

A world of signals.
One clear perspective.
SPCX ☆
158.68 USD
SpaceX · Q3 replay · demo +10.89 (+7.37%)
161.80
158.40
Options
Gamma Negative
IV 58.20% ↓
Put/Call 1.28 ↑
Call Wall 160
Put Wall 155
Catalysts
EARNINGS · Q3 2026

SpaceX beats. The market asks what comes next.

$14.58B revenue and $0.35 EPS set up a post-earnings rally.

Results · Oct 20
STARLINK

Connectivity keeps the growth engine running.

Starlink adoption and enterprise demand support the earnings story.

Recurring revenue in focus
AI INVESTMENT

A bigger compute buildout. A bigger cash bill.

Q3 capex reached $19.6B; Q4 spending outlook is $35–40B.

Funding and returns in focus
SUPER INTELLIGENCE

AI becomes a material revenue engine.

Cloud agreements, Cursor and Grok drive the next growth debate.

Monetization vs. spending
Upcoming Catalysts
NEXT AI capacity milestones
WATCH Starlink subscriber update
WATCH Starship flight readiness
Q4 Capex deployment progress
TBD Next earnings · unannounced
NARRATIVES

The revenue and profit beat supports a higher valuation even as the initial rally consolidates.

52%

The $35–40B spending outlook shifts attention from the earnings beat to funding and cash returns.

46%

Profit-taking near $160 caps the earnings rally while aggressive sellers test intraday support.

38%

Repeated failures at $160 VWAP keep the intraday recovery capped despite the earnings beat.

35%

Put hedges build beneath the gap-up as dealers rebalance exposure around the $158 flip.

31%

A break below the $158 gamma flip could accelerate hedging into the $155 put wall.

22%

Thinner bids between $158 and $155 leave the post-earnings gap vulnerable to a fast retracement.

18%
DRIVERS
Downside hedges after the beat
$26M put premium · 2.1x baseline
$158.50 intraday support
3 tests after the opening rally
Earnings IV crush
74.6% pre-report → 58.2%
Capex debate accelerates
AI growth vs. cash requirements
$160 VWAP rejected
Two failed intraday reclaims
AI peers hold their gains
QQQ +0.6% · sector backdrop firm
Blocks meet post-earnings bids
280K shares near $159.20
Negative gamma below $158
Hedging sensitivity into $155
Profit-taking into the gap
64% sell-side trade imbalance
Depth thins below the flip
Bid-ask spread widens to $0.12
Resting bids near $155
125K shares at the put wall
Revenue and profit beat
$14.58B revenue · $0.35 EPS
Opening momentum cools
15m RSI retreats from 71 to 49
Q4 investment step-up
$35–40B planned vs. $19.6B Q3
TAPE
12:38 FLOW Sell imbalance reaches 64%
12:37 DARK Block 120K shs $159.20
12:36 OPTIONS SPCX 155P sweep $2.6M
12:35 PRICE SPCX tests $158.50 support
12:34 PRICE SPCX slips below $159
12:33 FLOW Sell imbalance eases to 51%
12:31 OPTIONS 157.5P sweep $1.4M
12:29 SOCIAL Capex debate mentions +22%
12:27 VOL IV settles at 58.2%
12:26 TECHNICAL $160 VWAP rejection
12:25 GAMMA Gamma flip zone $158
12:24 MACRO AI peers +1.1%
12:22 PRICE Third test of $158.50 support
12:20 NEWS Q4 capex outlook in focus
12:18 OPTIONS Weekly put OI +34%
12:16 FLOW Institutional net flow -$18M
12:14 SOCIAL Starlink growth bulls push back
12:11 DARK Buy block 80K shs $159.60
12:08 VOL Earnings IV drops 16.4 pts
12:05 FLOW Delta hedge sell $5.2M
12:03 DARK Block 80K shs $159.10
12:01 OPTIONS SPCX 155P spread $1.1M
11:59 TECHNICAL 50-EMA cross under 15m
11:57 FLOW Net delta -$28M session
11:55 SOCIAL Cash-flow concerns trend
11:52 PRICE Bids replenish at $158.50
MATRIX
+
-
Watching $158.50 for the next bounce.
Great quarter. How much growth is priced in?
Starlink is the recurring-revenue anchor.
The earnings gap is still holding.
AI revenue finally shows up at scale.
Capex is the question for the next call.
A beat is good. Cash conversion matters too.
My hedge stays on below $160 VWAP.
Launch cadence is only part of the story now.
Cloud contracts need durable margins.
Taking some profit after the gap-up.
Waiting for a clean VWAP reclaim.
Enterprise Starlink could smooth the cycle.
Starship remains an execution milestone.
The put wall at $155 matters.
Post-earnings IV crush changes the trade.
AI peers are firm; why is SPCX fading?
Strong growth, expensive infrastructure.
Bullish long term; patient on this entry.
Watching $158.50 for the next bounce.
Great quarter. How much growth is priced in?
Starlink is the recurring-revenue anchor.
The earnings gap is still holding.
AI revenue finally shows up at scale.
Capex is the question for the next call.
A beat is good. Cash conversion matters too.
My hedge stays on below $160 VWAP.
Launch cadence is only part of the story now.
Cloud contracts need durable margins.
Taking some profit after the gap-up.
Waiting for a clean VWAP reclaim.
Enterprise Starlink could smooth the cycle.
Starship remains an execution milestone.
The put wall at $155 matters.
Post-earnings IV crush changes the trade.
AI peers are firm; why is SPCX fading?
Strong growth, expensive infrastructure.
Bullish long term; patient on this entry.
S T O N K S
⌁
Built for the curious.
Designed for clarity.
MARKET INTELLIGENCE, REIMAGINED.Scroll to discover ↓INTERACTIVE PRODUCT PREVIEW

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EARNINGS · Q3 2026

SpaceX beats. The market asks what comes next.

$14.58B revenue and $0.35 EPS set up a post-earnings rally.

Narratives
  • The earnings beat supports a higher valuation.
    52%
  • Profit-taking tests the strength of the rally.
    38%
  • Forward spending could temper post-earnings optimism.
    46%
STARLINK

Connectivity keeps the growth engine running.

Starlink adoption and enterprise demand support the earnings story.

Narratives
  • Subscription growth strengthens recurring revenue.
    64%
  • Enterprise demand could improve the revenue mix.
    48%
  • Network expansion keeps capital needs elevated.
    42%
AI INVESTMENT

A bigger compute buildout. A bigger cash bill.

Q3 capex reached $19.6B; Q4 spending outlook is $35–40B.

Narratives
  • Compute investment brings future growth forward.
    55%
  • Higher spending raises near-term funding pressure.
    61%
  • Returns on new capacity become the key test.
    44%
SUPER INTELLIGENCE

AI becomes a material revenue engine.

Cloud agreements, Cursor and Grok drive the next growth debate.

Narratives
  • AI monetization could diversify the growth story.
    57%
  • Cloud demand may support a valuation premium.
    43%
  • Execution must keep pace with infrastructure spending.
    62%

The market is a story.
We narrate it.

AI MARKET NARRATIVES

Behind every move,
there’s a story.

Connect the dots between earnings, price action, and the forces shaping the market.

POST-EARNINGS SPCX +7.37%
✦THE STORY, CONNECTED

A strong quarter.
A bigger growth debate.

Earnings beat → higher expectations → spending in focus.

SENTIMENT & CHATTER

Feel the pulse.
Filter the noise.

News, social, and analyst perspectives.
One conversation, many points of view.

long-term convictionStarlink momentumcash flow matters growth meets expectationsthe capex questionearnings beatwhat comes next?

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Pre-launch · Prototype
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Is the dashboard showing live market data?

The landing-page demo uses a SpaceX scenario with sample quotes, event replays, and illustrative probabilities. Chatter contains dated coverage summaries with source links. It demonstrates the experience rather than providing a live market feed; launch coverage and data availability may differ.

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